Sport Picks
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & H2H Stats
Kazakhstan
Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent 
Match Events
14'
14'
Jorginho G.
Assist: Edmilson
28'
28'
Kilama G.
41'
41'
Glazer D.
AI Match Summary
Ordabasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Kairat Almaty.
- Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ordabasy | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
2:1
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ordabasy Compare
Top Goalscorer Kilama G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Astanov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Jorginho G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ordabasy 95 / 100
Kairat Almaty 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ordabasy Kairat Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ordabasy's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kairat Almaty has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ordabasy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ordabasy VS Kairat Almaty
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ordabasy
(Home) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Altai
02 Aug
Ordabasy
2 : 0 Tobol
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 4
Kairat Almaty
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Kairat Almaty
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
