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Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Astana Arena, Astana
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Kazakhstan Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ordabasy have averaged 2.07 scored and 0.69 conceded recently, against Kaisar Kyzylorda's 1.1 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Ordabasy slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ordabasy. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ordabasy
15%
Draws
21%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ordabasy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ordabasy taking it.
  • Ordabasy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ordabasy, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 20%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Kaisar Kyzylorda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy
1:1
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
5:0
Aug 31, 2024 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 85 / 100
Kaisar Kyzylorda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Kaisar Kyzylorda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ordabasy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Kaisar Kyzylorda
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Kaisar Kyzylorda

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -