Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ordabasy vs Kyzylzhar

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Leo Natel
Assist: Macedo Moraes E.
64' Event
Abagna D.
68'
Sub
Cheredinov A. In: Sokolenko A.
Out: Cheredinov A.

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Ordabasy
20%
Draws
11%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Kyzylzhar.
  • Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 20%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kyzylzhar
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Ordabasy
1:2
Aug 28, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Kyzylzhar
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Ordabasy
0:0
Jun 25, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Kyzylzhar vs Ordabasy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Natel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abagna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kyzylzhar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 85 / 100
Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Kyzylzhar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Ordabasy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Kyzylzhar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Kyzylzhar
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Kyzylzhar

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)