Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Kone D.
13'
13'
Sub
Mbodj M. In: Petrovic R.
Out: Mbodj M.
19'
19'
Abdikholikov B.
AI Match Summary
Maqtaaral in this Kazakhstan Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Maqtaaral.
- Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ordabasy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Maqtaaral, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 20%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ordabasy | Maqtaaral |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2023 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Maqtaaral
1:0
May 13, 2023 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs Ordabasy
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Maqtaaral vs Ordabasy
1:4
Apr 19, 2023 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Maqtaaral
1:2
Nov 6, 2022 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs Ordabasy
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ordabasy Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdikholikov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Maqtaaral Compare
Top Goalscorer Kone D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ordabasy 85 / 100
Maqtaaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ordabasy Maqtaaral
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ordabasy scored in 97% of their last 34 games.
Maqtaaral's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Ordabasy stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ordabasy VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ordabasy
(Home) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Altai
02 Aug
Ordabasy
2 : 0 Tobol
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 4
Maqtaaral
(Away) 15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2 Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2 SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0 Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1 Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1 Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6
15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2 Maqtaaral
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0 Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1 Maqtaaral
01 Oct
Atyrau
2 : 0 Maqtaaral
27 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 Maqtaaral
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
FC Astana -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
Kaspij Aktau -
TBD -
Turan 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Ordabasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Maqtaaral -
Kyzylzhar -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhetysu Taldykorgan -
Shakhter Karagandy -
TBD -
TBD -
Okzhetpes -
Tobol -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksu -
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
Atyrau -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
Akzhayik Uralsk 7
Akademiya Ontustik 1
1/8-finals
FC Astana 7
Kaisar Kyzylorda 1
Kaspij Aktau 1
Turan 3
Ordabasy 5
Maqtaaral 3
Kyzylzhar 3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Shakhter Karagandy 6
Okzhetpes 0
Tobol 3
Aksu 2
Aktobe 2
Atyrau 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Akzhayik Uralsk 1
Quarter-finals
FC Astana 3
Turan 1
Ordabasy 2
Kyzylzhar 1
Shakhter Karagandy 1
Tobol 2
Atyrau 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Semi-finals
FC Astana 1
Ordabasy 2
Tobol 2
Atyrau 0
Final
Ordabasy 0
Tobol 1
