Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ordabasy vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Astanov E. In: Macedo Moraes E.
Out: Astanov E.
46'
Sub
Vakulko Y. In: Amir Z.
Out: Vakulko Y.
58'
Sub
Serikkul R. In: Harada H.
Out: Serikkul R.

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ordabasy
15%
Draws
21%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Ulytau.
  • Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Ulytau
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 25 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Ulytau
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Ordabasy
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Ordabasy
2:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Ulytau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 95 / 100
Ulytau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Ulytau conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ordabasy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Ulytau
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
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Ulytau

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)