Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov

Ordabasy

1 - 0

Ulytau

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Astanov E. In: Macedo Moraes E.

Out: Astanov E.

46'

Sub

Vakulko Y. In: Amir Z.

Out: Vakulko Y.

58'

Sub

Serikkul R. In: Harada H.

Out: Serikkul R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Ordabasy

Draws

Ulytau

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Ulytau.
Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%

Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ordabasy	Ulytau
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	20	10
Draws	7	9
Losses	2	9
Goals Scored	1.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Premier League

Ordabasy vs Ulytau

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League

Ulytau vs Ordabasy

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Aug 24, 2025 Premier League

Ulytau vs Ordabasy

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

May 24, 2025 Premier League

Ordabasy vs Ulytau

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 95 / 100

Ulytau 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ordabasy Ulytau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ulytau conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ordabasy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Ulytau

1.88 Goals Scored 0.63

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	18	13	4	1	33:13	43
2	Kairat Almaty	19	12	6	1	37:13	42
3	Okzhetpes	18	8	6	4	24:24	30
4	FC Astana	17	8	5	4	25:19	29
5	Aktobe	18	8	4	6	26:20	28
6	Ulytau	18	7	6	5	15:16	27
7	Yelimay Semey	17	7	5	5	25:22	26
8	Zhenis	18	5	7	6	15:20	22
9	Tobol	18	5	4	9	20:26	19
10	Kaisar Kyzylorda	19	3	10	6	14:21	19
11	Atyrau	17	3	9	5	13:16	18
12	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	18	4	6	8	21:27	18
13	Kaspij Aktau	18	5	3	10	16:23	18
14	Kyzylzhar	18	4	4	10	18:26	16
15	Altai	18	3	7	8	14:22	16
16	Ertis Pavlodar	17	1	8	8	14:22	11