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Ordabasy vs Zhenis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy host Zhenis in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Zhenis have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Ordabasy have conceded 0.76 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Ordabasy slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ordabasy. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Ordabasy
15%
Draws
17%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Zhenis haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 20%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Zhenis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ordabasy
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Zhenis
2:1
May 30, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ordabasy
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Zhenis
1:2
Jun 23, 2024 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ordabasy
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 85 / 100
Zhenis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Zhenis has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ordabasy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Zhenis
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Zhenis

(Away)
10 Oct
Zhenis
1 : 2
Atyrau
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 27 20 4 3 55:19 64
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 26 14 6 6 43:27 48
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 27 13 6 8 41:37 45
6 Yelimay Semey 26 10 8 8 36:36 38
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Ulytau 27 9 8 10 26:32 35
9 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 27 9 5 13 29:37 32
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 26 5 11 10 20:29 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
14 Altai 27 6 7 14 27:38 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 27 4 12 11 23:37 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)