Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Mosiashvili T.
37' Event
Kashken D.
Assist: Anuarbekov N.
45'
Antic N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ordabasy and Zhetysu Taldykorgan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ordabasy
6%
Draws
4%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ordabasy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:1
May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Ordabasy
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Ordabasy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Maliy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalmatov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashken D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 95 / 100
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Zhetysu Taldykorgan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Zhetysu Taldykorgan has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Ordabasy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Yelimay Semey
15 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
11 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2
Ordabasy
05 Jul
Ordabasy
1 : 0
Ulytau
28 Jun
Ulytau
0 : 1
Ordabasy
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Zhetysu Taldykorgan

(Away)
18 Jul
Okzhetpes
2 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
11 Jul
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Altai
05 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
27 Jun
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Aktobe
20 Jun
Altai
3 : 3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy18134133:1343
2Kairat Almaty19126137:1342
3Okzhetpes1886424:2430
4FC Astana1785425:1929
5Aktobe1884626:2028
6Ulytau1876515:1627
7Yelimay Semey1775525:2226
8Zhenis1857615:2022
9Tobol1854920:2619
10Kaisar Kyzylorda19310614:2119
11Atyrau1739513:1618
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan1846821:2718
13Kaspij Aktau18531016:2318
14Kyzylzhar18441018:2616
15Altai1837814:2216
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)