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Ordabasy W vs Kaspij Aktau W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sitnikova D.
43' Event
Makhmutova E.
Assist: Serik P.
45' Event
Bigaziz K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ordabasy W
15%
Draws
0%
Kaspij Aktau W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaspij Aktau W haven't matched Ordabasy W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ordabasy W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Ordabasy W Clean Sheet 20%
Kaspij Aktau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy W Kaspij Aktau W
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 9 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.07
Goals Conceded 2.4 4.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 League Women
Ordabasy W vs Kaspij Aktau W
4:0
Jul 20, 2026 League Women
Kaspij Aktau W vs Ordabasy W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Makhmutova E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sitnikova D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Kaspij Aktau W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy W 85 / 100
Kaspij Aktau W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy W Kaspij Aktau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau W conceded in 87% of 15 recent games.

Kaspij Aktau W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ordabasy W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy W VS Kaspij Aktau W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy W

(Home)
07 Sept
Atyrau W
2 : 0
Ordabasy W
31 Aug
Ordabasy W
4 : 0
Kaspij Aktau W
17 Aug
Ordabasy W
2 : 1
Kairat W
10 Aug
Ordabasy W
0 : 9
BIIK Shymkent W
03 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 0
Ordabasy W
Page 1 of 6

Kaspij Aktau W

(Away)
07 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
7 : 0
Kaspij Aktau W
31 Aug
Ordabasy W
4 : 0
Kaspij Aktau W
24 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 6
Tomiris-Turan W
10 Aug
Ulytau W
2 : 0
Kaspij Aktau W
03 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 5
Kairat W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)