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Ordabasy W vs Tomiris-Turan W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Shalmukhanbetova N.
56' Event
Yrysbek K.
Assist: Sadykova A.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Ordabasy W and Tomiris-Turan W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomiris-Turan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ordabasy W
39%
Draws
30%
Tomiris-Turan W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomiris-Turan W come out ahead of Ordabasy W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ordabasy W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ordabasy W Clean Sheet 20%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy W Tomiris-Turan W
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 9 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.25 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 League Women
Ordabasy W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:2
Aug 15, 2024 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Ordabasy W
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Ordabasy W
0:1
May 20, 2024 League Women
Ordabasy W vs Tomiris-Turan W
4:0
May 17, 2024 League Women
Ordabasy W vs Tomiris-Turan W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shalmukhanbetova N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yrysbek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy W 32 / 100
Tomiris-Turan W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy W Tomiris-Turan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ordabasy W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tomiris-Turan W let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy W VS Tomiris-Turan W
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451