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Ordino vs Carroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ordino host Carroi in the Primera Divisió. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ordino have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.84 conceded recently, against Carroi's 0.59 scored and 2.19 conceded. Head-to-head, Ordino have won 3 to Carroi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.81, favoring Ordino. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ordino
20%
Draws
23%
Carroi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ordino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ordino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ordino taking it.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ordino Clean Sheet 20%
Carroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordino Carroi
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.28 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Ordino
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
3:1
May 19, 2024 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Ordino
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordino 49 / 100
Carroi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordino Carroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ordino scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Carroi conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Ordino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ordino VS Carroi
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordino

(Home)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
FC Santa Coloma
0 : 1
Ordino
Page 1 of 5

Carroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
2 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 4 2 0 2 5:11 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)