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Orebro vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Dana H.
36'
Granstrom G.
41'
Horberg F.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Orebro and Brage finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Orebro
20%
Draws
51%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Orebro haven't matched Brage's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Orebro Clean Sheet 12%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Brage
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Brage
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Brage vs Orebro
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Orebro
4:5
May 30, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordh G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 30 / 100
Brage 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Orebro's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Orebro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Brage
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
03 Aug
Orebro
1 : 3
Varnamo
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
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Brage

(Away)
01 Aug
Brage
2 : 1
Landskrona
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 17 11 2 4 29:10 35
2 Varberg 17 10 3 4 34:23 33
3 Ostersund 18 9 5 4 28:21 32
4 Falkenberg 17 9 4 4 33:26 31
5 Nordic United 17 7 6 4 28:25 27
6 Oster 17 8 2 7 27:26 26
7 Sandviken 17 7 4 6 32:23 25
8 Landskrona 17 7 4 6 23:19 25
9 Helsingborg 17 7 3 7 30:34 24
10 Oddevold 17 5 7 5 28:26 22
11 Brage 17 5 5 7 30:30 20
12 Ljungskile 17 5 5 7 23:25 20
13 Norrby 17 3 10 4 21:23 19
14 Orebro 17 3 6 8 14:25 15
15 Varnamo 17 4 2 11 20:35 14
16 Sundsvall 18 3 0 15 13:42 9
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)