Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orebro vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Dana H.
36'
Granstrom G.
41'
Horberg F.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Orebro and Brage finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Orebro
39%
Draws
31%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Orebro haven't matched Brage's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Brage
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Brage
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Brage vs Orebro
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Orebro
4:5
May 30, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordh G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 29 / 100
Brage 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Orebro's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Orebro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Brage
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
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Brage

(Away)
01 Aug
Brage
2 : 1
Landskrona
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 16 10 2 4 27:10 32
2 Falkenberg 16 9 4 3 32:24 31
3 Varberg 16 9 3 4 32:22 30
4 Ostersund 16 7 5 4 26:21 26
5 Nordic United 16 7 5 4 26:23 26
6 Oster 16 8 2 6 27:25 26
7 Landskrona 16 7 4 5 22:17 25
8 Helsingborg 16 7 3 6 30:32 24
9 Sandviken 16 6 4 6 27:23 22
10 Oddevold 17 5 7 5 28:26 22
11 Ljungskile 16 5 4 7 21:23 19
12 Norrby 17 3 10 4 21:23 19
13 Brage 16 4 5 7 28:29 17
14 Orebro 16 3 6 7 13:22 15
15 Varnamo 16 3 2 11 17:34 11
16 Sundsvall 16 3 0 13 13:36 9
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)