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FBK Karlstad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orebro play FBK Karlstad in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orebro averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. FBK Karlstad averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Orebro won 1, FBK Karlstad won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Orebro and 1.94 for FBK Karlstad. This points to a FBK Karlstad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Orebro

21%

Draws

41%

FBK Karlstad

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Orebro picked up more points recently compared to FBK Karlstad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orebro	FBK Karlstad
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	16
Draws	9	3
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.45	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly

Orebro vs FBK Karlstad

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrastovina E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kocher Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

FBK Karlstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 36 / 100

FBK Karlstad 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orebro FBK Karlstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FBK Karlstad or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orebro attacking → ← attacking FBK Karlstad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orebro scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

FBK Karlstad let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Orebro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FBK Karlstad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 51

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88