Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orebro vs Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Begic A.
36'
Azzi H.
50' Event
Watson M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Orebro and Ostersund finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Orebro
35%
Draws
34%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostersund come out ahead of Orebro on wins alone.
  • Model gives Orebro a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orebro Clean Sheet 18%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Ostersund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Ostersund
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Orebro
2:4
May 31, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Orebro
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Ostersund
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Orebro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 67 / 100
Ostersund 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orebro found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Ostersund let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Orebro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Ostersund
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

Ostersund

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)