Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orebro vs Varberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Yakoub A.
45' Event
Yakoub A.
Assist: Ortmark J.
56'
Sub
Dahlstrom N. In: Johansson N.
Out: Dahlstrom N.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Orebro and Varberg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Orebro
35%
Draws
35%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varberg come out ahead of Orebro on wins alone.
  • Orebro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Orebro Clean Sheet 20%
Varberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Varberg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Varberg
2:1
May 2, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Varberg
1:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakoub A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Winbo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 42 / 100
Varberg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orebro's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Varberg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Orebro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Varberg
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
02 Nov
Landskrona
2 : 1
Orebro
26 Oct
Orebro
1 : 0
Falkenberg
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
11 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Ljungskile
03 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
Page 1 of 6

Varberg

(Away)
01 Nov
Varberg
2 : 2
Ljungskile
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)