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Orense vs Delfin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Orense Logo

Orense

Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Delfin Logo

Delfin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orense host Delfin in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Orense have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Delfin's 0.83 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Orense have won 1 to Delfin's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward Orense. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Orense
20%
Draws
58%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Delfin have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Orense are scoring more at 1.21.
  • Model gives Delfin a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Orense Clean Sheet 20%
Delfin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Delfin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0
Aug 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
3:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 28 / 100
Delfin 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Delfin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Orense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orense VS Delfin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orense

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

Delfin

(Away)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 32 10 3 19 29:44 33
15 Delfin 32 8 8 16 23:34 32
16 Manta 32 7 6 19 20:43 27
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)