Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orense vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orense play Delfin in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orense averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Delfin averaged 0.64 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Orense won 2, Delfin won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Orense and 1.00 for Delfin. This points to a Orense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Orense
33%
Draws
29%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Orense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Orense picked up more points recently compared to Delfin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Orense Clean Sheet 23%
Delfin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Delfin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0
Aug 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
3:1
May 4, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Liga Pro
Orense vs Delfin
0:0
May 12, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Orense
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 39 / 100
Delfin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Delfin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orense or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orense attacking → ← attacking Delfin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Delfin let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Orense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Delfin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 30
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independiente del Valle17131336:1840
2LDU Quito1683519:1327
3Dep. Cuenca1683518:1727
4U. Catolica1675426:1426
5Barcelona SC1675418:1326
6Aucas1675419:1626
7Orense1664621:2222
8Emelec1664613:1622
9Tecnico U.1662817:1620
10Macara1655615:1820
11Guayaquil City1654714:1919
12Mushuc Runa1646619:2118
13Leones del Norte1645715:1817
14Libertad1645716:2217
15Delfin164488:1516
16Manta1733117:2312