Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orense vs Dep. Cuenca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Orense Logo

Orense

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orense host Dep. Cuenca in the Liga Pro. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dep. Cuenca have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Orense have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Orense slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Orense to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Orense
20%
Draws
50%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Orense have won more games recently than Dep. Cuenca.
  • Orense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Orense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Orense Clean Sheet 18%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Dep. Cuenca
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Orense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 36 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Dep. Cuenca has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Orense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orense VS Dep. Cuenca
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orense

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 31 9 12 10 36:39 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 31 10 3 18 29:43 33
15 Delfin 31 7 8 16 20:32 29
16 Manta 31 6 6 19 19:43 24
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)