Sport Picks
Orense vs Guayaquil City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala 
Match Events
5'
5'
Ortiz C.
Assist: Burgoa V.
9'
9'
Bermudez M.
35'
35'
Dorregaray D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Orense in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guayaquil City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guayaquil City have won more games recently than Orense.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Orense Clean Sheet 11%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orense | Guayaquil City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Guayaquil City
4:3
May 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Orense
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Orense
1:0
Apr 3, 2023 Liga Pro
Orense vs Guayaquil City
3:2
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Orense
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orense Compare
Top Goalscorer Burgoa V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Guayaquil City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mero E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dorregaray D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orense 35 / 100
Guayaquil City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orense Guayaquil City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Orense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Guayaquil City let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Orense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orense VS Guayaquil City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Orense
(Home) 21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1 Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2 Macara
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2 Macara
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1 Aucas
Page 1 of 3
Guayaquil City
(Away) 19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
22 Aug
Tecnico U.
2 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1 Guayaquil City
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
