Sport Picks
Orense vs Leones del Norte Prediction & H2H Stats
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala 
Match Events
22'
22'
Moran J.
27'
27'
Kreiman B.
36'
36'
Burgoa V.
AI Match Summary
Orense in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leones del Norte
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leones del Norte have won more games recently than Orense.
- Leones del Norte are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Leones del Norte have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Orense Clean Sheet 16%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orense | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Orense
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Leones del Norte
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Leones del Norte vs Orense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orense Compare
Top Goalscorer Burgoa V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Leones del Norte Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orense 28 / 100
Leones del Norte 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orense Leones del Norte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leones del Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Orense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Leones del Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.
Orense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Orense VS Leones del Norte
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Orense
(Home) 21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1 Orense
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2 Macara
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2 Macara
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0 Dep. Cuenca
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1 Aucas
Page 1 of 3
Leones del Norte
(Away) 19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2 Leones del Norte
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
