Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orense vs Leones del Norte

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Moran J.
27'
Kreiman B.
36'
Burgoa V.

AI Match Summary

Orense in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Orense
11%
Draws
80%
Leones del Norte
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Leones del Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Leones del Norte average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Orense's 1.13.
  • Leones del Norte are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Orense Clean Sheet 16%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Leones del Norte
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Orense vs Leones del Norte
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Leones del Norte vs Orense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgoa V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leones del Norte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 11 / 100
Leones del Norte 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Leones del Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Leones del Norte has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Orense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orense VS Leones del Norte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle18141340:1943
2Aucas1895421:1632
3Barcelona SC1886420:1330
4Macara1985620:1929
5LDU Quito1884619:1428
6Dep. Cuenca1883718:2027
7U. Catolica1875628:1826
8Emelec1866614:1724
9Tecnico U.1872919:1923
10Leones del Norte1865719:1923
11Orense1865722:2423
12Guayaquil City1864816:2122
13Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
14Delfin1955911:1820
15Libertad1846817:2518
16Manta1934127:2413