Sport Picks

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Orense vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orense host Macara in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Macara have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Orense have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Orense have won 3 to Macara's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Macara. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Orense
30%
Draws
37%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macara come out ahead of Orense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Orense Clean Sheet 12%
Macara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orense Macara
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Orense
1:2
Mar 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Orense vs Macara
0:1
Jun 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Orense vs Macara
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Orense
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga Pro
Orense vs Macara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 30 / 100
Macara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orense Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orense scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Orense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Macara let in goals in 57% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Orense VS Macara
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orense

(Home)
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
01 Aug
Libertad
3 : 0
Orense
26 Jul
Orense
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
23 Jul
Orense
2 : 1
Aucas
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Macara

(Away)
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
4 U. Catolica 25 11 7 7 40:22 40
5 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
6 Barcelona SC 25 9 9 7 25:20 36
7 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
11 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
12 Guayaquil City 25 7 9 9 22:27 30
13 Orense 25 8 6 11 30:36 30
14 Tecnico U. 25 8 2 15 21:34 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 25 4 5 16 11:32 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)