Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio 9 de Mayo

Orense

1 - 2

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Mejia E.

Assist: Alonso M.

31'

Vinan B.

40'

Mejia E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Orense

33%

Draws

40%

U. Catolica

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: U. Catolica at 1.63 per game, Orense at 1.
U. Catolica are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Orense Clean Sheet 16%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orense	U. Catolica
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	10	10
Draws	7	9
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga Pro

Orense vs U. Catolica

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Orense

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Oct 25, 2025 Liga Pro

Orense vs U. Catolica

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Aug 9, 2025 Liga Pro

Orense vs U. Catolica

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Apr 20, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Orense

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinan B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orense 28 / 100

U. Catolica 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orense U. Catolica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: U. Catolica conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: U. Catolica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orense VS U. Catolica

1 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	18	14	1	3	40:19	43
2	Aucas	18	9	5	4	21:16	32
3	Barcelona SC	18	8	6	4	20:13	30
4	LDU Quito	18	8	4	6	19:14	28
5	Dep. Cuenca	18	8	3	7	18:20	27
6	U. Catolica	18	7	5	6	28:18	26
7	Macara	18	7	5	6	18:18	26
8	Emelec	18	6	6	6	14:17	24
9	Tecnico U.	18	7	2	9	19:19	23
10	Leones del Norte	18	6	5	7	19:19	23
11	Orense	18	6	5	7	22:24	23
12	Guayaquil City	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
13	Mushuc Runa	18	5	6	7	23:27	21
14	Libertad	18	4	6	8	17:25	18
15	Delfin	18	4	5	9	10:18	17
16	Manta	18	3	4	11	7:23	13