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Orestis Orestiadas vs PAOK Kristonis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orestis Orestiadas play PAOK Kristonis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. PAOK Kristonis are favorites here. Recently, Orestis Orestiadas averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. PAOK Kristonis averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Orestis Orestiadas won 0, PAOK Kristonis won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Orestis Orestiadas and 2.19 for PAOK Kristonis. This points to a PAOK Kristonis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Orestis Orestiadas
16%
Draws
69%
PAOK Kristonis
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: PAOK Kristonis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Orestis Orestiadas picked up more points recently compared to PAOK Kristonis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Orestis Orestiadas Clean Sheet 10%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orestis Orestiadas PAOK Kristonis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 8
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Orestis Orestiadas
3:1
Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Orestis Orestiadas
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orestis Orestiadas vs PAOK Kristonis
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Orestis Orestiadas
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orestis Orestiadas vs PAOK Kristonis
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orestis Orestiadas 16 / 100
PAOK Kristonis 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orestis Orestiadas PAOK Kristonis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Kristonis Win (2)
Secondary Pick PAOK Kristonis & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orestis Orestiadas attacking → ← attacking PAOK Kristonis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orestis Orestiadas scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

PAOK Kristonis let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Orestis Orestiadas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

PAOK Kristonis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 38
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panthrakikos22163352:1651
2Xanthi22128248:1744
3Doxa Dramas22134541:2543
4Iraklis Thermaikou22108431:1838
5Poseidonas Michanionas22810428:2234
6Aetos Ofryniou22103937:3733
7PAOK Kristonis2278724:2829
8Krya Vrysi2268829:3026
9Thermaikos FC22641219:3222
10Kilkisiakos22561126:3821
11PAOK Dytikou22371221:4216
12Orestis Orestiadas22112012:634