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Orgryte vs AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
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Match Events

11'
Mujanic A.
13' Event
Christoffersson N.
Assist: Sana T.
28'
Filling K.

AI Match Summary

AIK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Orgryte
30%
Draws
39%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Orgryte haven't matched AIK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Orgryte a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AIK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 13%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte AIK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs AIK
3:4
Aug 2, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Orgryte
0:3
Feb 19, 2022 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs AIK
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Christoffersson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andreasson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gustafsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 40 / 100
AIK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orgryte scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

AIK let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Orgryte remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS AIK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
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AIK

(Away)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)