Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Mujanic A.
13'
13'
Christoffersson N.
Assist: Sana T.
28'
28'
Filling K.
AI Match Summary
AIK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orgryte
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Orgryte haven't matched AIK's recent run of results.
- Model gives Orgryte a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors AIK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orgryte | AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs AIK
3:4
Aug 2, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Orgryte
0:3
Feb 19, 2022 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs AIK
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orgryte Compare
Top Goalscorer Christoffersson N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Andreasson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
AIK Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gustafsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orgryte 40 / 100
AIK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orgryte AIK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AIK let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Orgryte scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: AIK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orgryte VS AIK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Orgryte
(Home) 19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2 Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1 Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1 Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3 Orgryte
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2 Sirius
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1 Hammarby
22 Aug
Orgryte
1 : 1 Halmstad
08 Aug
Orgryte
3 : 4 AIK
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0 Djurgarden
Page 1 of 3
AIK
(Away) 10 Oct
AIK
5 : 6 Brommapojkarna
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1 AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1 Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4 Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0 AIK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1 AIK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0 AIK
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3 AIK
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3 AIK
08 Aug
Orgryte
3 : 4 AIK
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53:28 | 54 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49:20 | 43 |
| 3 | Djurgarden | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 47:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Hacken | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39:30 | 36 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34:36 | 35 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:41 | 35 |
| 8 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37:33 | 33 |
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28:21 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:41 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28:39 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20:35 | 20 |
| 14 | Kalmar | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21:36 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25:49 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16:40 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)
