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Orgryte vs Hammarby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hofvander W.
18' Event
Lind V.
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Johansson O. In: Besara N.
Out: Johansson O.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Orgryte and Hammarby finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Orgryte
15%
Draws
64%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hammarby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 12%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Hammarby
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.24 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Hammarby
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
8:1
Jul 29, 2013 Superettan
Orgryte vs Hammarby
0:3
Jul 20, 2013 Superettan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
0:0
Oct 23, 2010 Superettan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Hofvander W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hammarby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 14 / 100
Hammarby 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Orgryte found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Hammarby has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Orgryte remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Hammarby
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
01 Nov
Elfsborg
2 : 1
Orgryte
29 Oct
Orgryte
1 : 2
Mjallby
24 Oct
Djurgarden
2 : 2
Orgryte
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby

(Away)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
25 Oct
Mjallby
0 : 2
Hammarby
18 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 1
Hammarby
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)