Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orgryte vs Hammarby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hofvander W.
18' Event
Lind V.
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Johansson O. In: Besara N.
Out: Johansson O.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Orgryte and Hammarby finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Orgryte
30%
Draws
47%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 11%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Hammarby
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.21 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Hammarby
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
8:1
Jul 29, 2013 Superettan
Orgryte vs Hammarby
0:3
Jul 20, 2013 Superettan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
0:0
Oct 23, 2010 Superettan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Hofvander W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hammarby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 10 / 100
Hammarby 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Orgryte found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Hammarby has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Orgryte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Hammarby
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
22 Aug
Orgryte
1 : 1
Halmstad
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Hammarby

(Away)
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)