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Orgryte vs Sirius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Castegren H.
Assist: Bjerkebo I.
62' Event
Svensson V.
Assist: Vancsa Z.
65'
Lindberg M.

AI Match Summary

Sirius in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sirius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Orgryte
20%
Draws
51%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sirius lately — more wins on the board than Orgryte.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sirius have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 13%
Sirius Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Sirius
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Sirius
1:2
May 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Orgryte
2:0
Oct 17, 2016 Superettan
Sirius vs Orgryte
4:1
May 15, 2016 Superettan
Orgryte vs Sirius
1:2
Oct 25, 2008 Superettan
Sirius vs Orgryte
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagerlund S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Castegren H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svensson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 31 / 100
Sirius 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Orgryte found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sirius conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Orgryte remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Sirius
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
01 Nov
Elfsborg
2 : 1
Orgryte
29 Oct
Orgryte
1 : 2
Mjallby
24 Oct
Djurgarden
2 : 2
Orgryte
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
03 Nov
Sirius
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
24 Oct
Sirius
1 : 2
AIK
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)