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Orgryte vs Sirius

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orgryte host Sirius in the Allsvenskan. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sirius have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Orgryte have conceded 2.04 and scored 1.22. Head-to-head, Orgryte have won 1 to Sirius's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.63, favoring Sirius. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orgryte
20%
Draws
44%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sirius lately — more wins on the board than Orgryte.
  • Win probability leans Orgryte's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 14%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Sirius
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.22 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Orgryte
2:0
Oct 17, 2016 Superettan
Sirius vs Orgryte
4:1
May 15, 2016 Superettan
Orgryte vs Sirius
1:2
Oct 25, 2008 Superettan
Sirius vs Orgryte
2:2
Jul 6, 2008 Superettan
Orgryte vs Sirius
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 39 / 100
Sirius 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orgryte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Orgryte scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Sirius conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Orgryte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Sirius
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
22 Aug
Orgryte
1 : 1
Halmstad
16 Aug
Brommapojkarna
3 : 1
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
21 Aug
Sirius
0 : 3
Hacken
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 20 14 3 3 48:27 45
2 Djurgarden 20 12 2 6 44:19 38
3 Hammarby 20 11 4 5 45:19 37
4 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
5 AIK 19 9 5 5 28:27 32
6 Elfsborg 20 8 7 5 28:21 31
7 Malmo FF 20 9 3 8 33:30 30
8 Vasteras SK 20 8 5 7 28:34 29
9 GAIS 20 7 6 7 25:18 27
10 Brommapojkarna 20 7 6 7 29:32 27
11 IFK Goteborg 20 7 5 8 28:40 26
12 Mjallby 20 5 6 9 26:34 21
13 Kalmar 20 5 4 11 21:30 19
14 Degerfors 20 5 4 11 19:31 19
15 Orgryte 20 3 6 11 23:43 15
16 Halmstad 20 2 5 13 13:37 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)