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Orgryte vs Vasteras SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orgryte host Vasteras SK in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vasteras SK have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Orgryte have conceded 2.24 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Orgryte have won 1 to Vasteras SK's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.75) back Vasteras SK to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Orgryte
15%
Draws
59%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasteras SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasteras SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vasteras SK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 12%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Vasteras SK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Superettan
Orgryte vs Vasteras SK
0:2
Apr 8, 2025 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Superettan
Orgryte vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Superettan
Vasteras SK vs Orgryte
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 22 / 100
Vasteras SK 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasteras SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orgryte scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Vasteras SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Orgryte stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Vasteras SK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
01 Nov
Elfsborg
2 : 1
Orgryte
29 Oct
Orgryte
1 : 2
Mjallby
24 Oct
Djurgarden
2 : 2
Orgryte
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
01 Nov
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Brommapojkarna
28 Oct
Degerfors
0 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 2
Halmstad
18 Oct
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Mjallby
09 Oct
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
2 Sirius 26 17 4 5 56:34 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 26 10 8 8 42:45 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 26 9 7 10 32:26 34
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 26 6 8 12 30:43 26
13 Kalmar 26 6 4 16 23:42 22
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 26 4 5 17 18:49 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)