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Orientacion Maritima vs Corralejo

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 game between Orientacion Maritima and Corralejo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corralejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Orientacion Maritima
30%
Draws
47%
Corralejo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corralejo come out ahead of Orientacion Maritima on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Corralejo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Orientacion Maritima Clean Sheet 20%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orientacion Maritima Corralejo
Matches Played 34 39
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Corralejo
0:2
Nov 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Orientacion Maritima
2:2
Mar 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Corralejo
0:1
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Orientacion Maritima
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orientacion Maritima 12 / 100
Corralejo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orientacion Maritima Corralejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corralejo let in goals in 69% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Orientacion Maritima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Orientacion Maritima scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Corralejo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orientacion Maritima

(Home)
15 May
UD Realejos
2 : 5
Orientacion Maritima
08 May
Orientacion Maritima
1 : 1
Atletico Granadilla
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
21 Apr
Orientacion Maritima
0 : 0
Las Zocas
17 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
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Corralejo

(Away)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corralejo 41 21 16 4 56:25 79
2 Las Palmas B 41 20 14 7 67:38 74
3 Pajara Playas 41 21 11 9 64:36 74
4 CD Marino 41 19 13 9 65:39 70
5 Mensajero 41 17 17 7 59:36 68
6 Atletico Granadilla 41 19 11 11 55:48 68
7 Villa Santa Brigida 41 15 15 11 42:29 60
8 UD Realejos 41 15 11 15 45:43 56
9 AD Huracan 41 14 13 14 42:40 55
10 SD Tenisca 41 16 7 18 55:47 55
11 Tijarafe 41 12 16 13 51:53 52
12 Castillo CF 41 11 17 13 46:50 50
13 Orientacion Maritima 41 12 14 15 44:55 50
14 Teror 41 12 13 16 46:53 49
15 CD Laguna 41 12 11 18 41:54 47
16 Las Zocas 41 11 14 16 38:53 47
17 Victoria CD 41 10 17 14 37:44 47
18 CD Charco Del Pino 41 10 16 15 39:50 46
19 Galdar 41 9 13 19 34:62 40
20 Los Llanos 41 7 15 19 33:58 36
21 Univ. Las Palmas B 41 7 11 23 44:73 32
22 Fuerteventura 21 5 7 9 23:40 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)