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Oriental Dragon vs Fabril do Barreiro Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fabril do Barreiro in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fabril do Barreiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oriental Dragon
35%
Draws
29%
Fabril do Barreiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fabril do Barreiro haven't matched Oriental Dragon's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 20%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Dragon Fabril do Barreiro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.27 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Oriental Dragon
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental Dragon vs Fabril do Barreiro
1:2
Feb 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Oriental Dragon vs Fabril do Barreiro
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Fabril do Barreiro vs Oriental Dragon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental Dragon 32 / 100
Fabril do Barreiro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Dragon Fabril do Barreiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Oriental Dragon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Oriental Dragon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Fabril do Barreiro has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fabril do Barreiro
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental Dragon

(Home)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
Page 1 of 6

Fabril do Barreiro

(Away)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)