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Oriental Dragon vs Fayal

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2020/2021
Sun, Sep 27, 2020
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal 2020/2021. This has Oriental Dragon written all over it on paper. Fayal have shipped 3.88 goals a game lately, while Oriental Dragon have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Oriental Dragon have won 1 to Fayal's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2020, ending 3:0. The numbers (3.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Oriental Dragon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Oriental Dragon
20%
Draws
0%
Fayal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Fayal haven't matched Oriental Dragon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Oriental Dragon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Oriental Dragon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oriental Dragon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 68%
Fayal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Dragon Fayal
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 12 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.32 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Oriental Dragon vs Fayal
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental Dragon 95 / 100
Fayal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Dragon Fayal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Dragon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fayal let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Recent resilience: Oriental Dragon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Fayal has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Oriental Dragon scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriental Dragon VS Fayal
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 6.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental Dragon

(Home)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
Page 1 of 7

Fayal

(Away)
06 Sept
GD Alcochetense
8 : 0
Fayal
14 Sept
Fayal
0 : 5
Olivais e Moscavide
27 Sept
Oriental Dragon
3 : 0
Fayal
08 Sept
Coutada
2 : 0
Fayal
16 Sept
Aguias do Moradal
6 : 1
Fayal
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Berco 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
Santarem 3
U. Madeira 0
Tirsense 5
TBD -
Montijo -
Trofense 1
Vila Mea 0
TBD -
Agueda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense -
TBD -
Torreense 3
Uniao Almeirim 0
Alverca 3
Guadalupe 0
Porto da Cruz 1
Camacha 4
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Amora -
TBD -
Ferreiras 3
Louletano 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Lusitania FC 0
Portalegrense 0
Marinhense 11
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Alqueidao 1
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sporting Ideal 4
Vale Formoso 0
TBD -
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 2
Culatrense 0
Beira Mar 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Fazendense 0
1º Dezembro 2
FC Crato 0
Leiria 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Fatima 0
Oleiros 3
Aguia Vimioso 1
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Maria de Fonte 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
Vila Cortez 4
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Juv. Evora 2
TBD -
Academica -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
SC Vila Real 1
Mondinense 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Oriental Dragon 3
Fayal 0
Santa Marta Penaguiao 2
Cinfaes 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Alcains 2
Vitoria Sernache 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 3
Aves 0
Coimbroes 1
Valadares Gaia FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
Amarante FC 1
TBD -
SC Salgueiros -
Caldas SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Covilha -
Anca 3
Tocha 1
Sacavenense 2
Sintrense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 3
FC Madalena 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 2
Brito 0
TBD -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Olhanense 0
Lusitano GC 2
TBD -
Mortagua FC -
Camara de Lobos 2
Leca 1
TBD -
Vizela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Lusitano GC 0
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Condeixa 0
Calvao 0
Carapinheirense 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Atletico CP 0
Sao Roque 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Lusitano FCV 1
Aguias do Moradal 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 2
Pevidem 0
Paredes 1
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Ferreira de Aves 0
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 2
FC Foz 0
GD Braganca 0
AD Limianos 1
Aljustrelense 1
Praia Milfontes 0
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Pero Pinheiro 1
SC Praiense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
AD Fafe 3
FC Amares 0
SC Vianense 1
TBD -
Vilar de Perdizes -
Tomar 2
AD Portomosense 3
Real SC 3
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Ericeirense 0
GS Loures 3
Gondomar 7
Meda 0
1/64-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Santarem 1
Tirsense 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 4
Agueda 2
TBD -
Braga -
UC Idanhense 0
Torreense 8
Alverca 2
Camacha 1
Uniao Montemor 0
Feirense 2
Amora 1
Ferreiras 0
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Marinhense 1
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 1
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Merelinense 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Africanos Braganca 0
Arouca 5
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Moura AC 0
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
1º Dezembro 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Portimonense -
Oleiros 3
SC Mirandela 2
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
CDC Montalegre 3
Vila Cortez 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Academico Viseu 1
Juv. Evora 1
Academica 3
Rebordelo 1
Varzim 3
SC Vila Real 2
Casa Pia 3
TBD -
Nacional -
UD Ovarense 1
Oriental Dragon 2
Santa Marta Penaguiao 1
Leixoes 5
Vitoria Sernache 0
Fabril do Barreiro 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
FC Felgueiras 2
Valadares Gaia FC 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Pedras Rubras 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Caldas SC 1
Covilha 2
Anca 2
Sacavenense 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Sesimbra 1
Oliveirense 4
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Desportivo Moncao 2
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Cerveira 0
Oriental 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sertanense 0
Estoril 4
Lusitano GC 2
Mortagua FC 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Vizela 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Carapinheirense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Estrela da Amadora 2
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Sao Martinho 1
Paredes 2
TBD -
Benfica -
Vidago 1
Vilafranquense 5
Sanjoanense 1
Canelas 2010 0
AD Limianos 2
Aljustrelense 1
GD Fontinhas 1
Mafra 0
Pero Pinheiro 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Vianense 0
Vilar de Perdizes 1
AD Portomosense 0
Real SC 3
TBD -
BSAD -
SC Espinho 1
Chaves 0
GS Loures 0
Gondomar 2
1/32-finals
Vilaverdense FC 2
Montijo 3
Trofense 1
Braga 2
Torreense 2
Alverca 0
Feirense 0
Amora 1
Marinhense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Merelinense 0
Moreirense 1
Arouca 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Beira Mar 1
Santa Clara 3
Leiria 1
Portimonense 0
Oleiros 0
Gil Vicente 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 1
Varzim 0
Casa Pia 2
Nacional 3
Oriental Dragon 0
Leixoes 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
FC Porto 2
FC Felgueiras 0
Tondela 1
Penafiel 2
Maritimo 3
SC Salgueiros 2
Covilha 1
Sacavenense 1
Sporting CP 7
Oliveirense 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Desportivo Moncao 1
Rio Ave 2
Oriental 0
Famalicao 3
Estoril 5
Lusitano GC 0
Vizela 0
Boavista 1
Anadia 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
SC Farense 0
Paredes 0
Benfica 1
Vilafranquense 2
Sanjoanense 1
AD Limianos 1
GD Fontinhas 2
AD Fafe 5
Vilar de Perdizes 1
Real SC 0
BSAD 2
SC Espinho 2
Gondomar 1
1/16-finals
Montijo 0
Braga 7
Torreense 1
Amora 0
Cova De Piedade 2
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Santa Clara 1
Leiria 0
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 3
Academica 0
Nacional 3
Leixoes 1
FC Porto 2
Tondela 1
Maritimo 2
SC Salgueiros 1
Sporting CP 3
Pacos Ferreira 0
Rio Ave 2
Famalicao 1
Estoril 2
Boavista 1
Anadia 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Benfica 5
Vilafranquense 0
GD Fontinhas 1
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
SC Espinho 0
1/8-finals
Braga 5
Torreense 0
Moreirense 1
Santa Clara 2
Gil Vicente 3
Academico Viseu 2
Nacional 2
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 2
Sporting CP 0
Rio Ave 1
Estoril 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Benfica 4
AD Fafe 2
BSAD 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Gil Vicente 0
FC Porto 2
Maritimo 1
Estoril 3
Benfica 3
BSAD 0
Semi-finals
Braga 4
FC Porto 3
Estoril 1
Benfica 5
Final
Braga 2
Benfica 0