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Oriental Dragon vs Lusitano GC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Lusitano GC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Oriental Dragon
35%
Draws
20%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oriental Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Oriental Dragon at 1.27 per game, Lusitano GC at 0.94.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Oriental Dragon taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Oriental Dragon Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Dragon Lusitano GC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.27 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental Dragon vs Lusitano GC
0:2
Oct 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano GC vs Oriental Dragon
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Lusitano GC vs Oriental Dragon
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental Dragon 68 / 100
Lusitano GC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Dragon Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Dragon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Oriental Dragon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Oriental Dragon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Lusitano GC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitano GC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental Dragon

(Home)
19 Apr
Imortal
2 : 2
Oriental Dragon
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
3 : 3
Oriental Dragon
19 Mar
Ferreiras
1 : 2
Oriental Dragon
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
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Lusitano GC

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)