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Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oriente Petrolero host Aurora in the Division Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Oriente Petrolero have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Aurora's 1.64 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Oriente Petrolero slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Aurora. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Oriente Petrolero
35%
Draws
37%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Oriente Petrolero have won more games recently than Aurora.
  • Model gives Oriente Petrolero a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 16%
Aurora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriente Petrolero Aurora
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 12
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero
2:2
Aug 4, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero
5:1
Sep 25, 2024 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
5:0
May 12, 2024 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriente Petrolero 41 / 100
Aurora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriente Petrolero Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriente Petrolero scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Aurora let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Oriente Petrolero stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriente Petrolero VS Aurora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriente Petrolero

(Home)
10 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Academia del Balompie
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Aurora

(Away)
11 Oct
Aurora
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 21 14 6 1 49:13 48
2 Bolivar 21 15 3 3 55:22 48
3 The Strongest 21 12 6 3 39:23 42
4 Real Potosi 21 9 8 4 28:14 35
5 Oriente Petrolero 21 10 3 8 37:27 33
6 Aurora 21 7 10 4 33:29 31
7 Guabira 21 8 5 8 33:43 29
8 Nacional Potosi 21 8 4 9 32:30 28
9 Blooming 21 6 9 6 30:23 27
10 Independiente 21 7 4 10 27:37 25
11 Real Oruro 21 7 3 11 35:51 24
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21 6 3 12 21:40 21
13 Academia del Balompie 21 6 2 13 31:46 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 21 5 3 13 27:42 18
15 GV San Jose 21 3 8 10 25:38 17
16 Tomayapo 21 4 5 12 15:39 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)