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Stadium Background

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Amarilla N.
60'
Sub
Flores J. In: Pena A.
Out: Flores J.
64'
Lopez F.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Oriente Petrolero and Nacional Potosi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriente Petrolero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Oriente Petrolero
20%
Draws
47%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oriente Petrolero come out ahead of Nacional Potosi on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Potosi taking it.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriente Petrolero Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Nov 12, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
2:2
Jul 30, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oriente Petrolero Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nacional Potosi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriente Petrolero 10 / 100
Nacional Potosi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriente Petrolero Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriente Petrolero found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Nacional Potosi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Oriente Petrolero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oriente Petrolero VS Nacional Potosi
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriente Petrolero

(Home)
10 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Academia del Balompie
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Potosi

(Away)
08 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 3
Nacional Potosi
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Oriente Petrolero 21 10 3 8 37:27 33
5 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 21 7 3 11 35:51 24
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21 6 3 12 21:40 21
13 Academia del Balompie 21 6 2 13 31:46 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 21 5 3 13 27:42 18
15 Tomayapo 21 4 5 12 15:39 17
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)