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Orihuela vs Rayo Majadahonda

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Faure I.
19'
San Jose K.
20' Event
Solsona J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rayo Majadahonda in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Majadahonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Orihuela
22%
Draws
60%
Rayo Majadahonda
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rayo Majadahonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayo Majadahonda have won more games recently than Orihuela.
  • Model gives Rayo Majadahonda a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 16%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orihuela Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Orihuela vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Orihuela
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Solano R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Faure I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orihuela 19 / 100
Rayo Majadahonda 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orihuela Rayo Majadahonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orihuela scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Rayo Majadahonda let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Orihuela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orihuela VS Rayo Majadahonda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orihuela

(Home)
03 May
Orihuela
2 : 1
Getafe B
26 Apr
Las Palmas B
2 : 1
Orihuela
18 Apr
Orihuela
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
Orihuela
05 Apr
Orihuela
2 : 2
Conquense
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Majadahonda

(Away)
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
05 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 3
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)