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Oriolik vs Cepin

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Oriolik Logo

Oriolik

1 - 2
FT
Cepin Logo

Cepin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cepin in this 3. HNL East matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cepin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Oriolik
20%
Draws
32%
Cepin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oriolik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oriolik lately — more wins on the board than Cepin.
  • Win probability leans Cepin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cepin have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 11%
Cepin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriolik Cepin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2022 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Cepin
1:2
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL East
Cepin vs Oriolik
1:2
May 8, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Cepin
0:1
Oct 28, 2020 3. HNL East
Cepin vs Oriolik
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriolik 10 / 100
Cepin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriolik Cepin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cepin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriolik scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Cepin let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Cepin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oriolik VS Cepin
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriolik

(Home)
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0
Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1
Oriolik
18 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
6 : 0
Oriolik
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Cepin

(Away)
27 May
Cepin
2 : 2
Slavija Pleternica
21 May
Croatia Dakovo
2 : 0
Cepin
14 May
Cepin
1 : 4
Slavonija Pozega
07 May
Belisce
3 : 0
Cepin
04 May
Cepin
2 : 2
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)