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Stadium Background

Oriolik vs Sloga Nova Gradiska

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Oriolik and Sloga Nova Gradiska finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloga Nova Gradiska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Oriolik
15%
Draws
42%
Sloga Nova Gradiska
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oriolik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sloga Nova Gradiska's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Oriolik have produced (1.15).
  • Model gives Sloga Nova Gradiska a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sloga Nova Gradiska here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriolik Sloga Nova Gradiska
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.15 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Oriolik
3:1
Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
0:1
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Oriolik
2:1
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL East
Oriolik vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriolik 10 / 100
Sloga Nova Gradiska 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriolik Sloga Nova Gradiska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Nova Gradiska Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sloga Nova Gradiska conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Oriolik scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sloga Nova Gradiska has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oriolik VS Sloga Nova Gradiska
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriolik

(Home)
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0
Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0
Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1
Oriolik
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Sloga Nova Gradiska

(Away)
28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1
Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1
Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3
Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4
Zrinski Osjecko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)