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Orkla vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orkla host Aalesund 2 in the Division 3 - Group 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Orkla have averaged 1.8 scored and 2.87 conceded recently, against Aalesund 2's 2 scored and 2.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Orkla slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.94) point toward Aalesund 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orkla
20%
Draws
44%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Aalesund 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.8 2
Goals Conceded 2.87 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
4:2
Aug 21, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
1:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Aalesund 2
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 14 / 100
Aalesund 2 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orkla's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aalesund 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Orkla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Aalesund 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
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