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Orkla vs Mosjoen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kadziolka J.
25' Event
Cyfert B.
32' Event
Haugen E. E.

AI Match Summary

Mosjoen in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mosjoen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Orkla
35%
Draws
26%
Mosjoen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orkla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orkla lately — more wins on the board than Mosjoen.
  • Win probability leans Orkla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Orkla Clean Sheet 13%
Mosjoen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Mosjoen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.69 0.93
Goals Conceded 3 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Mosjoen
3:4
May 26, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Mosjoen vs Orkla
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Orkla
2:3
Apr 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Mosjoen
0:0
Sep 9, 2017 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Mosjoen
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen E. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanden H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Mosjoen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadziolka J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cyfert B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 84 / 100
Mosjoen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Mosjoen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orkla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mosjoen let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Orkla scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Orkla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
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Mosjoen

(Away)
13 Apr
Mosjoen
0 : 4
Rana FK
27 Oct
Mosjoen
2 : 4
Trygg/Lade
20 Oct
Byasen
6 : 1
Mosjoen
13 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 2
Lillestrom 2
05 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 3
Melhus
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