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Orkla vs Nardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orkla host Nardo in the Division 3 - Group 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Orkla at 1.64 goals for, 3.18 against; Nardo at 2.14 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor Nardo slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 3.13, favoring Nardo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Orkla
20%
Draws
69%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nardo lately — more wins on the board than Orkla.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Nardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Nardo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Nardo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.64 2.14
Goals Conceded 3.18 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Orkla
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Nardo
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Orkla
4:0
Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Nardo
1:3
Apr 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Orkla
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 10 / 100
Nardo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nardo conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Orkla scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Orkla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Nardo
2 Goals Scored 2.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
10 Oct
Orkla
0 : 1
FK Kvik
03 Oct
Volda
4 : 1
Orkla
26 Sept
Byasen
3 : 0
Orkla
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
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Nardo

(Away)
10 Oct
Byasen
1 : 3
Nardo
03 Oct
Nardo
0 : 1
Strindheim
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
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