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Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
3 - 2
11:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Duarte A.
17'
Cartagena W.
31' Event
Dike D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Orlando City
15%
Draws
51%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orlando City come out ahead of Atletico San Luis on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Atletico San Luis taking it.
  • Orlando City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Orlando City, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.15 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Leagues Cup
Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis
3:2
Aug 5, 2024 Leagues Cup
Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dike D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Atletico San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 28 / 100
Atletico San Luis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Atletico San Luis conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Orlando City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS Atletico San Luis
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando City

(Home)
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)