Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orlando City vs Charlotte FC

USA USA

MLS Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Luis Otavio
Assist: Taifi Z.
24'
Angulo I.
33' Event
Agyemang M.
Assist: Biel P.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Orlando City and Charlotte FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Orlando City
20%
Draws
38%
Charlotte FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charlotte FC come out ahead of Orlando City on wins alone.
  • Model gives Orlando City a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 11%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City Charlotte FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 MLS
Orlando City vs Charlotte FC
4:1
Jul 5, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Orlando City
2:2
May 14, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Charlotte FC
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 MLS
Orlando City vs Charlotte FC
2:1
Nov 1, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Orlando City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luis Otavio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Agyemang M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 40 / 100
Charlotte FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City Charlotte FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Charlotte FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Orlando City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS Charlotte FC
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando City

(Home)
25 Jul
Orlando City
1 : 0
Nashville SC
23 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes
0 : 4
Orlando City
23 May
FC Cincinnati
6 : 2
Orlando City
19 May
Orlando City
4 : 1
Atlanta United
16 May
Orlando City
1 : 1
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte FC

(Away)
25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Charlotte FC
23 Jul
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1774630:2325
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1737723:3116
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)