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Orlando City vs New York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Orlando City Logo

Orlando City

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
New York City Logo

New York City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orlando City host New York City in the MLS. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. New York City have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Orlando City have conceded 1.97 and scored 2.31. Past meetings favor New York City slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.50) point toward Orlando City. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Orlando City
30%
Draws
16%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orlando City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Orlando City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orlando City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New York City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 16%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City New York City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.31 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Orlando City
5:0
Jul 17, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs New York City
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Orlando City
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
Orlando City vs New York City
1:1
Jun 28, 2024 MLS
New York City vs Orlando City
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 57 / 100
New York City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orlando City scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

New York City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Orlando City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS New York City
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando City

(Home)
17 Oct
Orlando City
4 : 1
DC United
14 Oct
Toronto FC
3 : 3
Orlando City
10 Oct
Orlando City
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

New York City

(Away)
17 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
Los Angeles FC
14 Oct
Inter Miami
2 : 0
New York City
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
New York City
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)