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Orleans vs Saint-Pryve

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orleans play Saint-Pryve in the Club Friendly 2025. Orleans are favorites here. Recently, Orleans averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Saint-Pryve averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Orleans won 3, Saint-Pryve won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 25, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Orleans and 1.00 for Saint-Pryve. This points to a Orleans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Orleans
25%
Draws
15%
Saint-Pryve
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Orleans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Orleans picked up more points recently compared to Saint-Pryve.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Orleans Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Pryve Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Saint-Pryve
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Orleans vs Saint-Pryve
4:2
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Orleans vs Saint-Pryve
4:0
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Orleans vs Saint-Pryve
1:1
Aug 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Saint-Pryve vs Orleans
0:0
Jul 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Orleans vs Saint-Pryve
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Morel J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Khoumisti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Saint-Pryve Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 59 / 100
Saint-Pryve 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Saint-Pryve

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orleans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Orleans & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orleans attacking → ← attacking Saint-Pryve

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Saint-Pryve let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Orleans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Pryve lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00