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Orleans vs Versailles

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kabamba A.
19'
Drame I.
20' Event
Calvet R.
Assist: Cisse B.

AI Match Summary

Versailles in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Orleans
20%
Draws
51%
Versailles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Versailles have won more games recently than Orleans.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Orleans Clean Sheet 20%
Versailles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Versailles
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Versailles
0:4
May 1, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Orleans
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Versailles
2:0
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Versailles
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Orleans
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Etien A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Calvet R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 32 / 100
Versailles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Versailles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Versailles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Versailles conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Orleans has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Versailles
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
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Versailles

(Away)
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Versailles
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouen 7 5 2 0 13:2 17
2 La Roche Vendee 7 4 3 0 10:6 15
3 Concarneau 7 3 3 1 9:6 12
4 Thionville 7 3 3 1 13:11 12
5 Caen 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
6 Amiens SC 7 3 2 2 8:2 11
7 Cannes 7 2 5 0 8:3 11
8 Versailles 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
9 Le Puy-en-Velay 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
10 Bastia 7 3 1 3 6:9 10
11 Paris 13 Atletico 7 2 3 2 5:7 9
12 Quevilly 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
13 Fleury-Merogis 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Orleans 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
15 Valenciennes 7 1 2 4 7:12 5
16 Aubagne FC 7 1 1 5 3:8 4
17 Bourg Peronnas 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
18 Villefranche 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)