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Orleans vs Villefranche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orleans host Villefranche in the Ligue 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Orleans at 1.17 goals for, 1.1 against; Villefranche at 1.07 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Orleans have won 2 to Villefranche's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.06) back Orleans to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Orleans
35%
Draws
16%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orleans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Villefranche haven't matched Orleans's recent run of results.
  • Orleans are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Orleans Clean Sheet 20%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Villefranche
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Villefranche
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Orleans
1:2
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Orleans
2:0
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Villefranche
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Villefranche
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 76 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orleans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orleans scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Villefranche let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Orleans remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Villefranche
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
03 Oct
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Villefranche
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)