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Orn vs Lillehammer Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 Lystlunden Stadion, Horten
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orn host Lillehammer in the Division 3 - Group 6. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Orn at 1.81 goals for, 1.55 against; Lillehammer at 3.21 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Orn slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.38) point toward Lillehammer. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Orn
15%
Draws
48%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillehammer lately — more wins on the board than Orn.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Lillehammer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Orn have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orn Lillehammer
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.81 3.21
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillehammer vs Orn
3:2
Sep 9, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Lillehammer vs Orn
3:4
May 28, 2012 Division 2 - Group 1
Orn vs Lillehammer
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orn 14 / 100
Lillehammer 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orn Lillehammer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillehammer has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Orn's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orn VS Lillehammer
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orn

(Home)
26 Sept
Orn
4 : 2
Fram
19 Sept
Orn
0 : 2
Oppsal
12 Sept
Sandefjord 2
1 : 1
Orn
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
30 Aug
Bjorkelangen
2 : 5
Orn
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Lillehammer

(Away)
26 Sept
Rade
1 : 5
Lillehammer
19 Sept
Lillehammer
7 : 1
Bjorkelangen
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
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