Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 Lystlunden Stadion, Horten
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gueye B.
9' Event
Takvam L.
24' Event
Takvam L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Orn and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Orn
15%
Draws
53%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orn come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 2 on wins alone.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orn Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:4
Jul 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
5:1
Jun 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn
3:1
Aug 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orn Compare

Top Goalscorer Takvam L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wichne E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orn 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orn Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Orn scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Orn stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orn VS Sarpsborg 08 2
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orn

(Home)
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
30 Aug
Bjorkelangen
2 : 5
Orn
23 Aug
Flint
2 : 0
Orn
15 Aug
Orn
1 : 0
Gjovik-Lyn
08 Aug
Elverum
1 : 0
Orn
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
03 Aug
Oppsal
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
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