Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsha vs BATE

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Central City Stadium, Orsha
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Orsha have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against BATE's 0.97 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Orsha have won 0 to BATE's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Orsha. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orsha
20%
Draws
40%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Orsha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Orsha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Orsha Clean Sheet 17%
BATE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha BATE
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.32 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Orsha vs BATE
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 31 / 100
BATE 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

BATE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

BATE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS BATE
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6

BATE

(Away)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -