Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsha vs BATE

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Central City Stadium, Orsha
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belarusian Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Orsha have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against BATE's 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward BATE. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orsha
30%
Draws
34%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Orsha's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what BATE have produced (1.13).
  • Model gives Orsha a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Orsha Clean Sheet 16%
BATE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha BATE
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 36 / 100
BATE 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BATE conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orsha stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

BATE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Orsha's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS BATE
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
19 Jul
Orsha
3 : 2
Naftan
11 Jul
Orsha
1 : 1
Smorgon
04 Jul
BumProm Gomel
1 : 3
Orsha
28 Jun
Orsha
0 : 4
FC Minsk 2
20 Jun
Osipovichi
2 : 1
Orsha
Page 1 of 6

BATE

(Away)
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
02 Jul
BATE
0 : 1
FC Gomel
27 Jun
Zhodino
3 : 0
BATE
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
1/16-finals
FK Lida0
Zhodino4
Osipovichi1
Dnepr Mogilev3
FC Slonim0
Isloch Minsk1
Uni X Labs1
FK Baranovici4
BumProm Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Soligorsk1
Neman2
Orsha3
Naftan2
Molodechno1
BATE4
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr5
Krumkachy0
Dynamo Brest5
Niva Dolbizno2
FC Gomel3
Ostrovets2
Vitebsk3
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Belshina8
Smorgon3
FC Minsk4
1/8-finals
Zhodino-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Isloch Minsk-
FK Baranovici-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Neman-
Orsha-
BATE-
Slavia Mozyr-
Dynamo Brest-
FC Gomel-
Vitebsk-
Din. Minsk-
ML Vitebsk-
Belshina-
FC Minsk-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-