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Orsha vs BumProm Gomel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Orsha Logo

Orsha

3 - 2
FT
BumProm Gomel Logo

BumProm Gomel

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Stain D. In: Bykov N.
Out: Stain D.
66' Event
Tarbyakov N.
Assist: Shalychev V.
67'
Sub
Kabyshev A. In: Latykhov D.
Out: Kabyshev A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orsha in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Orsha
15%
Draws
26%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Orsha haven't matched BumProm Gomel's recent run of results.
  • Orsha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Orsha Clean Sheet 11%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BumProm Gomel
3:2
Jul 4, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Orsha
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Orsha
4:0
Jun 28, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BumProm Gomel
0:3
Nov 17, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Orsha
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarbyakov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zheleznikov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Fazylov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 83 / 100
BumProm Gomel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha BumProm Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orsha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BumProm Gomel conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Orsha scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Orsha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS BumProm Gomel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
31 Oct
Orsha
3 : 2
BumProm Gomel
24 Oct
FC Minsk 2
1 : 5
Orsha
17 Oct
Orsha
2 : 3
Osipovichi
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
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BumProm Gomel

(Away)
31 Oct
Orsha
3 : 2
BumProm Gomel
24 Oct
BumProm Gomel
1 : 3
Volna Pinsk
17 Oct
Smorgon
1 : 0
BumProm Gomel
10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1
BumProm Gomel
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
FC Minsk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 30 11 5 14 43:45 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Uni X Labs 31 8 9 14 32:40 33
15 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)