Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsha vs FK Lida

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Karpovich E.
19'
Vekhtev N.
38' Event
Gribovskiy R.
Assist: Puzach A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Orsha and FK Lida finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Lida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Orsha
15%
Draws
64%
FK Lida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Lida come out ahead of Orsha on wins alone.
  • FK Lida are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • FK Lida have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Orsha Clean Sheet 13%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha FK Lida
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FK Lida
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Orsha
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FK Lida
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FK Lida
2:4
Jun 23, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Orsha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Pashkevich M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FK Lida Compare

Top Goalscorer Gribovskiy R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tymonyuk I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 11 / 100
FK Lida 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha FK Lida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Lida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Lida has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Orsha's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orsha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS FK Lida
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2
BATE 2
15 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 0
Orsha
10 Aug
Orsha
0 : 3
Molodechno
Page 1 of 6

FK Lida

(Away)
29 Aug
Soligorsk
1 : 2
FK Lida
23 Aug
FK Lida
3 : 2
Niva Dolbizno
15 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
3 : 2
FK Lida
09 Aug
FK Lida
2 : 1
Slutsk
05 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
1 : 2
FK Lida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 22 14 3 5 57:26 45
2 Slutsk 22 13 5 4 43:23 44
3 FK Lida 22 13 3 6 42:35 42
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 22 12 5 5 43:26 41
5 Molodechno 22 12 2 8 38:34 38
6 FC Slonim 22 11 3 8 40:28 36
7 BumProm Gomel 22 10 4 8 41:33 34
8 Din. Minsk 2 22 9 4 9 40:35 31
9 Volna Pinsk 22 9 4 9 37:39 31
10 Soligorsk 22 8 5 9 42:40 29
11 FC Minsk 2 22 9 2 11 30:38 29
12 Ostrovets 22 6 9 7 27:31 27
13 Orsha 22 7 4 11 25:40 25
14 Uni X Labs 22 6 6 10 21:28 24
15 Smorgon 22 6 5 11 26:33 23
16 FC Gomel 2 22 5 6 11 30:39 21
17 BATE 2 22 4 6 12 31:51 18
18 Osipovichi 22 5 2 15 23:57 17
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)