Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsha vs Molodechno

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Alshanik A.
Assist: Velisevich D.
41' Event
Koval I.
Assist: Volkovets D.
51'
Solovey F.

AI Match Summary

Molodechno in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molodechno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Orsha
20%
Draws
61%
Molodechno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molodechno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molodechno lately — more wins on the board than Orsha.
  • Win probability leans Molodechno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Molodechno have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Molodechno
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Molodechno
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Orsha
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Molodechno
0:1
May 10, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Orsha
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Molodechno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Molodechno Compare

Top Goalscorer Alshanik A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koval I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 10 / 100
Molodechno 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Molodechno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molodechno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orsha scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Molodechno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Orsha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS Molodechno
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
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Molodechno

(Away)
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
FC Slonim
0 : 0
Molodechno
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0
BATE 2
29 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 1
Molodechno
21 Aug
Molodechno
4 : 1
Soligorsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 25 16 3 6 63:31 51
2 Slutsk 25 15 6 4 48:24 51
3 FK Lida 25 15 3 7 47:42 48
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 25 14 5 6 48:30 47
5 Molodechno 25 14 3 8 44:36 45
6 FC Slonim 25 13 4 8 46:30 43
7 BumProm Gomel 25 11 4 10 47:37 37
8 Soligorsk 25 10 6 9 49:43 36
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Volna Pinsk 25 10 4 11 40:44 34
11 Ostrovets 25 8 9 8 35:37 33
12 Smorgon 25 8 6 11 30:34 30
13 FC Minsk 2 25 9 3 13 36:46 30
14 Orsha 25 7 5 13 27:46 26
15 Uni X Labs 25 6 7 12 24:34 25
16 BATE 2 25 5 6 14 34:58 21
17 FC Gomel 2 25 5 6 14 33:48 21
18 Osipovichi 25 5 3 17 26:62 18
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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